Ir al contenido

Documat

Cambio climático y dinámicas migratorias en el Cuerno de África: una revisión exhaustiva de la literatura y direcciones futuras de investigación

  • Gómez Álvaro, Gema [1] ; Caro Carretero, Raquel [1] Árbol académico
    1. [1] Universidad Pontificia Comillas

      Universidad Pontificia Comillas

      Madrid, España

  • Localización: epsir: European Public & Social Innovation Review, ISSN-e 2529-9824, Nº. 9, 11, 2024 (Ejemplar dedicado a: Innovando en la redefinición de la relación entre el ser humano y su entorno)
  • Idioma: español
  • DOI: 10.31637/epsir-2024-412
  • Títulos paralelos:
    • Climate change and migration dynamics in the Horn of Africa: a comprehensive review and future research directions
  • Enlaces
  • Resumen
    • español

      Introducción: En este estudio, se analizan referencias relevantes para establecer qué factores determinan los movimientos migratorios en el Cuerno de África y qué papel juega el cambio climático. Metodología: Con una revisión sistemática de la literatura en cinco fases se seleccionan, siguiendo unos criterios de inclusión y exclusión, 221 referencias relevantes. Con ellas se analizan movimientos migratorios y qué factores influyen en ellos. Resultados: Destaca un aumento de las publicaciones desde el año 2011, coincidiendo con una devastadora sequía en la región. Los hallazgos indican que, aunque el cambio climático es un factor importante, otros elementos como la pobreza, la inseguridad y los conflictos tienen un papel aún más significativo en la migración de la región. Discusión: se identifican desafíos como la falta de datos fiables y la necesidad de un enfoque multidisciplinario para abordar estos problemas complejos. La región enfrenta una situación crítica con altos niveles de inseguridad alimentaria, conflictos y vulnerabilidad climática, lo que sugiere que el cambio climático es un factor añadido a una situación ya complicada. Conclusiones: El estudio concluye que es crucial integrar el cambio climático, la migración y los conflictos en investigaciones futuras para desarrollar respuestas efectivas y sostenibles.

    • English

      Introduction: In this study, relevant references are analysed to establish what factors determine migratory movements in the Horn of Africa and what role climate change plays. Methodology: A systematic literature review in five phases is conducted, selecting 221 relevant references based on inclusion and exclusion criteria. These references are used to analyze migration movements and the factors influencing them. Results: A notable increase in publications is highlighted since 2011, coinciding with a devastating drought in the region. Findings indicate that while climate change is an important factor, other elements such as poverty, insecurity, and conflicts play an even more significant role in regional migration. Discussion: Challenges, such as the lack of reliable data and the need for a multidisciplinary approach to address these complex issues, are identified. The region faces a critical situation with high levels of food insecurity, conflicts, and climate vulnerability, suggesting that climate change is an added factor to an already complicated situation. Conclusions: The study concludes that integrating climate change, migration, and conflicts in future research is crucial to develop effective and sustainable responses.

  • Referencias bibliográficas
    • Abdul-Razak, M., & Kruse, S. (2017). The Adaptive Capacity of Smallholder Farmers to Climate Change in the Northern Region of Ghana. Climate...
    • Achour, M., & Lacan, N. (2011). Drought in Somalia: A migration crisis. The State of Environmental Migration, Journal Article. https://bitly.cx/3go9
    • Afifi, T., Govil, R., Sakdapolrak, P., & Warner, K. (2012). Climate Change, Vulnerability and Human Mobility: Perspectives of Refugees...
    • Alemayehu, A., & Bewket, W. (2017). Smallholder Farmers’ Coping and Adaptation Strategies to Climate Change and Variability in the Central...
    • Arksey, H., & O’Malley, L. (2005). Scoping studies: Towards a methodological framework. International Journal of Social Research Methodology,...
    • Black, R., Adger, W. N., Arnell, N. W., Dercon, S., Geddes, A., & Thomas, D. (2011). The effect of environmental change on human migration....
    • Black, R., Bennett, S., Thomas, S., & Beddington, J. (2011). Climate change: Migration as adaptation. Nature, 478, 447–449. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/478477a
    • Black, R., Kniveton, D., Skeldon, R., Coppard, D., Murata, A., & Schmidt-Verkerk, K. (2008). Demographics and Climate Change: Future Trends...
    • Buhaug, H. (2010). Climate not to blame for African civil wars. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107(38), 16477-16482. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1005739107...
    • Calow, R. C., MacDonald, A. M., Nicol, A. L., & Robins, N. S. (2010). Ground water security and drought in Africa: Linking availability,...
    • Das, O. (2013). Environmental Protection, Security and Armed Conflict: A Sustainable Development Perspective. Edward Elgar Publishing. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781781004685...
    • Delgado, C., Tschunkert, K., & Smith, D. (2023). Food insecurity in Africa: drivers and solutions. Stockholm International Peace Research...
    • Díaz-Cuevas, M.P., Becerra-Fernández, D., & Villar Lama, A. (2021). Transición Ecológica y Emergencia Climática en las enseñanzas de Turismo....
    • Eriksen, S., Nightingale, A., and Eakin, H. (2015). Reframing adaptation: The political nature of climate change adaptation. Global environmental...
    • Fernández -Sánchez, H., King, K., & Enríquez-Hernández, C. (2020). Revisiones Sistemáticas Exploratorias como metodología para la síntesis...
    • Freeman, L. (2017). Environmental Change, Migration, and Conflict in Africa: A Critical Examination of the Interconnections. Journal of Environment...
    • Fulton, K., & Nickels, B. (2017). Africa’s pastoralists: A new battleground for terrorism. Washington, DC: African Centre for Strategic...
    • Gebremeskel Haile, G., Tang, Q., Sun, S., Huang, Z., Zhang, X., & Liu, X. (2019). Droughts in East Africa: Causes, impacts and resilience....
    • Gebrechorkos, S., Taye, M., Birhanu, B., Solomon, D., & Demissie, T. (2023). Future Changes in Climate and Hydroclimate Extremes in East...
    • Gebrewold, B., & Bloom, T. (2016). Understanding migrant decisions: from Sub-Saharan Africa to the Mediterranean region. https://bitly.cx/85qmS...
    • Gray, C., & Muller, V. (2012). Drought and Population Mobility in Rural Ethiopia. World Development, 40(1), 134-145. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2011.05.023
    • Gray, C., & Wise, E. (2016). Country-Specific Effects of Climate Variability on Human Migration. Climatic Change, 135(3), 555-568. DOI:...
    • Griffith, D., Muneepeerakul, R., Guerry, G., Cabrero, A. C., Johnson, J. C., Munoz-Carpena, R., Puma, M., Lall, U., & Homayounfar, M....
    • Hendrix, C. S., & Salehyan, I. (2012). Climate change, rainfall, and social conflict in Africa. Journal of Peace Research, 49(1), 35-50....
    • Hermans, K., & Garbe, L. (2019). Droughts, Livelihoods, and Human Migration in Northern Ethiopia. Regional Environmental Change, 19(4),...
    • Hermans, K., Wiederkehr, C., Groth, J., & Sakdapolrak, P. (2023). What we know and do not know about reciprocal pathways of environmental...
    • Hoch, J. M., de Bruin, S. P., Buhaug, H., Von Uexkull, N., van Beek, R., & Wanders, N. (2021). Projecting armed conflict risk in Africa...
    • Horwood, C. (2015). Irregular Migration Flows in the Horn of Africa: Challenges and implications for source, transit and destination countries....
    • Intergovernment Authority on Development. (2023). Horn of Africa Groundwater for Resilience Program. IGAD. https://bitly.cx/CzE1
    • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2023). AR6 Synthesis Report: Climate Change 2023. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/sixth-assessment-report-cycle/
    • Internal Displacement Moritoring Centre (IDMC). (2023). Global Report on Internal Displacement. Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre. https://shorturl.at/9lIVH
    • International Organization for Migration (IOM). (2011). Migration mapping service between Somalia and Dadaab in Kenya highlights need for...
    • International Organization for Migration (IOM). (2011). Glossary on Migration. https://publications.iom.int/system/files/pdf/iml_34_glossary.pdf
    • International Organization for Migration (IOM). (2018). Migración y cambio climático. https://www.iom.int/es/migracion-y-cambio-climatico
    • Kamau, J. W. (2021). Is counter-terrorism counterproductive? A case study of Kenya’s response to terrorism, 1998-2020. South African Journal...
    • Lindvall, K., Kinsman, J., Abraha, A., Dalmar, A., Abdullahi, M. F., Godefay, H., Thomas, L. L., Mohamoud, M. O., Mohamud, B. K., Musumba,...
    • Marchand, K., Reinold, J., & Silva, R. (2017). Study on Migration Routes in the East and Horn of Africa. Maastricht Graduate School of...
    • Marquina, A. (2010). Global Warming and Climate Change. Prospects and Policies for Asia and Europe. Basingstoke, Palgrave MacMillan. https://bitly.cx/zJTVv...
    • Maystadt, J., & Ecker, O. (2014). Extreme Weather and Civil War: Does Drought Fuel Conflict in Somalia through Lovestock Price Shocks?...
    • Mueller, V., Sheriff, G., Dou, X., & Gray, C. (2020). Temporary migration and climate variation in eastern Africa. World Development,...
    • Muller, J. C. Y. (2014). Adapting to climate change and addressing drought – learning from the Red Cross Red Crescent experiences in the Horn...
    • ND-GAIN. (2023). Country Index Technical Report. University of Notre Dame. https://gain.nd.edu/assets/522870/nd_gain_countryindextechreport_2023_01.pdf
    • Nicholson, S. E. (2014). A detailed look at the recent drought situation in the Greater Horn of Africa. Journal of Arid Environments, 103,...
    • Nicholson, S. E. (2017). Climate and climatic variability of rainfall over eastern Africa. Reviews of Geophysics, 55(3), 590-635. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016RG000544...
    • Renaud, F., Bogardi, J., Janos, J., & Warner, K. (2007). Control, adapt or flee: How to face environmental migration? (Vol. 5). UNU- EHS.
    • Seife, T. K. (2021). The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture and Food Security in the Greater Horn of Africa. Politikon, 48(1), 98-114....
    • The World Bank (2023) A New Era in Development: Annual report 2023. The World Bank. https://www.bancomundial.org/es/about/annual-report#anchor-annual
    • Thiollet, H. (2009). La Mobilité dans la Corne de l’Afrique: Entre urgence humanitaire et contrainte sécuritaire. Migrations Société, 21(121)....
    • United Nations Fund for Population Activities (UNFPA). (2023). El Cuerno de África. https://www.unfpa.org/es/el-cuerno-de-%C3%A1frica
Fundación Dialnet

Mi Documat

Opciones de artículo

Opciones de compartir

Opciones de entorno