Bayesian joint quantile autoregression
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Jorge Castillo-Mateo [1] ; Alan E. Gelfand [2] ; Jesús Asín [1] ; Ana C. Cebrián [1] ; Jesús Abaurrea [1]
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[1] Universidad de Zaragoza
Universidad de Zaragoza
Zaragoza, España
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[2] Duke University
Duke University
Township of Durham, Estados Unidos
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- Localización: Test: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, ISSN-e 1863-8260, ISSN 1133-0686, Vol. 33, Nº. 1, 2024, págs. 335-357
- Idioma: inglés
- Texto completo no disponible (Saber más ...)
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Resumen
Quantile regression continues to increase in usage, providing a useful alternative to customary mean regression. Primary implementation takes the form of so-called multiple quantile regression, creating a separate regression for each quantile of interest. However, recently, advances have been made in joint quantile regression, supplying a quantile function which avoids crossing of the regression across quantiles. Here, we turn to quantile autoregression (QAR), offering a fully Bayesian version. We extend the initial quantile regression work of Koenker and Xiao (J Am Stat Assoc 101(475):980–990, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1198/016214506000000672) in the spirit of Tokdar and Kadane (Bayesian Anal 7(1):51–72, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1214/12-BA702). We offer a directly interpretable parametric model specification for QAR. Further, we offer a pth-order QAR(p) version, a multivariate QAR(1) version, and a spatial QAR(1) version. We illustrate with simulation as well as a temperature dataset collected in Aragón, Spain.
