Resumen de The impact of global warming on the small Scottish Fishing Company
Lixin Mao, Haozheng Gu, Guy Bernard Bernard, Xiaochuan Ma
Global warming has a complex impact on the Scottish fishery. This research studies this impact using reported data andproposes appropriate solutions to minimise its impact. First, climate models are used to predict temperature changes overthe next 50 years based on past data; from the known living temperatures for fish such as mackerel and herring, theirfuture migration routes are predicted. Researchers note that this model is probably overly conservative, and our predictionsshould be considered a best-case scenario: the impact of climate change will be worse if, as expected, the pace of climatechange continues to accelerate. Second, building a model to determine when fishery vessels will no longer be able tolocate fish under different circumstances. Third, building economic models to determine the relationships between profits,the distances fishery vessels must travel and project these to the future. This research projects that small Scottish fishingcompanies will go bankrupt during the next 50 years if they do not change their business strategy.
