Nirodha Epasinghege Dona, Robert Nguyen, Paramjit Gill, Tim Swartz
This paper introduces the expected goals concept to limited overs cricket where ideas are illustrated using the economy rate statistic. The approach is primarily explored as a proof of concept since the detailed data that are required for full adoption of the proposed methods are not currently widely available. The approach is based on the estimation of batting outcome probabilities given detailed data on each ball that is bowled in a match. Machine learning techniques are used for the estimation procedure.
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