Ir al contenido

Documat


Una pequeña mirada a la estadística bayesiana en el análisis de datos cardiológicos

  • Carmen Armero Cervera [1] ; Patricia Rodríguez Pérez [3] ; José M. de la Torre Hernández [2]
    1. [1] Universitat de València

      Universitat de València

      Valencia, España

    2. [2] Hospital Universitario Marqués de Valdecilla

      Hospital Universitario Marqués de Valdecilla

      Santander, España

    3. [3] Clinical and Medical Affairs Department, Biotronik Spain, España
  • Localización: REC: Interventional Cardiology, ISSN-e 2604-7276, ISSN 2604-7306, Vol. 4, Nº. 3, 2022, págs. 207-215
  • Idioma: español
  • DOI: 10.24875/RECIC.M22000284
  • Títulos paralelos:
    • A brief look into Bayesian statistics in cardiology data analysis
  • Enlaces
  • Resumen
    • español

      La estadística bayesiana valora de forma probabilística cualquier fuente de incertidumbre asociada a un estudio estadístico y utiliza el teorema de Bayes para actualizar, de manera secuencial, la información generada en las diferentes fases del estudio. Las características de la inferencia bayesiana la hacen especialmente útil para el tratamiento de datos cardiológicos procedentes de estudios experimentales u observacionales que contienen diferentes fuentes de variabilidad y complejidad. En este trabajo se presentan los conceptos básicos de la estadística bayesiana relativos a la estimación de parámetros y cantidades derivadas, predicción de nuevos datos y contrastes de hipótesis; estos últimos en el contexto de la selección de modelos o teorías.

    • English

      Bayesian statistics assesses probabilistically all sources of uncertainty involved in a statistical study and uses Bayes’ theorem to sequentially update the information generated in the different phases of the study. The characteristics of Bayesian inference make it particularly useful for the treatment of cardiological data from experimental or observational studies including different sources of variability, and complexity. This paper presents the basic concepts of Bayesian statistics associated with the estimation of parameters and derived quantities, new data prediction, and hypothesis testing. The latter in the context of model or theory selection.

  • Referencias bibliográficas
    • 1. Hawking S. A Brief History of Time:The Origin and Fate of the Universe. New York:Bantam;1988.
    • 2. McGrayne SB. La teoría que nunca murió:De cómo la regla de Bayes permitiódescifrar el código Enigma, perseguir los submarinos rusos y emerger...
    • 3. Metropolis N, Rosenbluth A, Rosenbluth M, Teller A, Teller E. Equations of state calculations by fast computing machines. J Chem Phys....
    • 4. Robert CP, Casella G. A Short History of Markov Chain Monte Carlo:Subjective Recollections from Incomplete Data. Stat Sci. 2011;26:102-115.
    • 5. Gelfand AE, Smith AFM. Sampling-based approaches to calculating marginal densities. J Am Stat Assoc. 1990;85:398-409.
    • 6. Falsaperla R, Vitaliti G, Collotta AD, et al. Electrocardiographic Evaluation in Patients With Spinal Muscular Atrophy:A Case-Control Study....
    • 7. Robert CP, Chopin N, Rousseau J. Harold Jeffreys's Theory of Probability Revisited. Stat Sci. 2009;24:141-172.
    • 8. Iglesias JF, Muller O, Heg D, et al. Biodegradable polymer sirolimus-eluting stents versus durable polymer everolimus-eluting stents in...
    • 9. Christensen R, Johnson W, Branscum A, Hanson TE. Bayesian Ideas and Data Analysis:An Introduction for Scientists and Statisticians. Boca...
    • 10. Wasserstein RL, Lazar NA. The ASA Statement on p-Values:Context, Process, and Purpose. Am Stat. 2016;70:129-133.
    • 11. Goodman SN. Toward Evidence-Based Medical Statistics. 1:The P Value Fallacy. Ann Intern Med. 1999;130:995-1004.
    • 12. Greenland S, Senn SJ, Rothman KJ, et al. Statistical tests, P values, confidence intervals, and power:a guide to misinterpretations. Eur...
    • 13. Halsey LG, Curran-Everett D, Vowler SL, Drummond GB. The fickle P value generates irreproducible results. Nat Methods. 2015;12:179-185.
    • 14. Ioannidis JPA. Why Most Published Research Findings Are False. PLoS Med. 2005;2:e124.
    • 15. Ioannidis JPA. The Proposal to Lower P Value Thresholds to .005. J Am Med Assoc. 2018;319:1429-1430.
    • 16. Kruschke JK. Doing Bayesian data analysis:A Tutorial with R, JAGS, and Stan. 2nd ed. Amsterdam:Academic Press/Elsevier;2015.
    • 17. Kass RE, Raftery AE. Bayes Factors. J Am Stat Assoc. 1995;90:773-795.
    • 18. Hampson LV, Whitehead J, Eleftheriou D, et al. Elicitation of Expert Prior Opinion:Application to the MYPAN Trial in Childhood Polyarteritis...
    • 19. Mason AJ, Gomes M, Grieve R, Ulug P, Powell JT, Carpenter J. Development of a practical approach to expert elicitation for randomised...
    • 20. Jansen JO, Wang H, Holcomb JB, et al. Elicitation of prior probability distributions for a proposed Bayesian randomized clinical trial...
    • 21. Grant RL. The uptake of Bayesian methods in biomedical meta-analyses:A scoping review (2005–2016). J Evidence-Based Med. 2019;12:69-75.
    • 22. Spiegelhalter DJ, Abrams KR, Myles JP. Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation. Chichester:Wiley;2004.
    • 23. Pilgrim T, Heg D, Roffi M, et al. Ultrathin strut biodegradable polymer sirolimus-eluting stent versus durable polymer everolimus-eluting...
    • 24. Schmidli H, Gsteiger S, Roychoudhury A, O'Hagan A, Spiegelhalter D, Neuenschwander B. Robust meta-analytic-predictive priors in clinical...

Fundación Dialnet

Mi Documat

Opciones de artículo

Opciones de compartir

Opciones de entorno