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Una propuesta metodológica para elicitar el vector de parámetros π de la distribución Multinomial.

  • Andrés Felipe Flórez Rivera [1] ; Juan Carlos Correa Morales [1] Árbol académico
    1. [1] Universidad Nacional de Colombia

      Universidad Nacional de Colombia

      Colombia

  • Localización: Comunicaciones en Estadística, ISSN 2027-3355, ISSN-e 2339-3076, Vol. 8, Nº. 1, 2015, págs. 81-97
  • Idioma: español
  • DOI: 10.15332/s2027-3355.2015.0001.05
  • Títulos paralelos:
    • A methodological proposal to elicit the vector of parameters π of the multinomial distribution.
  • Enlaces
  • Resumen
    • español

      Cuando no existe información previa o es muy costosa obtenerla, las distribuciones a priori informativas brindan una opción práctica y “económica” que sirven de base para el inicio de un proyecto o un estudio en particular. En este trabajo presentamos una propuesta metodológica para llevar a cabo un proceso de elicitación que permite extraer el conocimiento de un experto e incorporarlo como una distribución a priori del vector de parámetros de la distribución Multinomial. Aquí presentamos la metodología propuesta acompañada de una ilustración y finalizamos con algunas conclusiones y recomendaciones

    • English

      When there is no preliminary information or is too costly to obtain it, the informative priors provide a practical option and “ economic ” that serving as a basis for initiating a project or a particular study. In this paper we present a methodology for carrying out elicitation process that allow derives from an expert knowledge and incorporate it as a prior distribution of the parameter vector π of the Multinomial distribution. The proposed methodology accompanied by an application and end with some conclusions and recommendations.

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