Resumen de Oracally Efficient Two-Step Estimation of Generalized Additive Model

Liu Rong, Lijian Yang, Wolfgang K. Härdle

• The generalized additive model (GAM) is a multivariate nonparametric regression tool for non-Gaussian responses including binary and count data. We propose a spline-backfitted kernel (SBK) estimator for the component functions and the constant, which are oracally efficient under weak dependence. The SBK technique is both computationally expedient and theoretically reliable, thus usable for analyzing high-dimensional time series. Inference can be made on component functions based on asymptotic normality. Simulation evidence strongly corroborates the asymptotic theory. The method is applied to estimate insolvent probability and to obtain higher accuracy ratio than a previous study. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.