Análisis del evento supercelular del 31 de julio de 2015 en España con el modelo WRF-ARW.

• Díaz-Fernández, Javier ^[1] ; Calvo-Sancho, Carlos ^[2] ; Quitián-Hernández, Lara ^[2] ; Bolgiani, Pedro ^[1] ; Santos-Muñoz, Daniel ^[4] ; Luna Rico, María Yolanda ^[3] ; González-Alemán, Juan Jesús ^[3] ; Sastre, Mariano ^[1] ; Valero, Francisco ^[1] ; Farrán, José Ignacio ^[2] ; Martín, María Luisa ^[2]
  1. [1] Universidad Complutense de Madrid

     Universidad Complutense de Madrid

     Madrid, España

     
  2. [2] Universidad de Valladolid

     Universidad de Valladolid

     Valladolid, España

     
  3. [3] Agencia Estatal de Meteorología

     Agencia Estatal de Meteorología

     Madrid, España

     
  4. [4] Instituto Danés de Meteorología. Copenhague.

  Mostrar afiliaciones +
• Localización: 10.ª Asamblea Hispano-Portuguesa de Geodesia y Geofísica: artículos, 2023, ISBN 978-84-416-7540-7, págs. 791-796
• Idioma: español
• Títulos paralelos:
  • Analysis of the supercell event of 31 July 2015 in Spain with the WRF-ARW model.
• Enlaces
  • Texto Completo Libro
• Resumen

  • Supercells are a type of severe convective storms usually associated with adverse meteorological phenomena (large hail, strong winds, thunderstorms, floods, tornadoes...). These phenomena can be extremely destructive and cause a great deal of material damage and occasionally personal injuries. Therefore, it is important to study supercells in detail to achieve a correct forecast and anticipate possible consequences. In this paper, a supercell event occurred in eastern Spain on 31 July 2015 is presented. The event caused great destruction in several locations due to strong winds and large hail (greater than 8 cm diameter). The system was simulated with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF-ARW) model. The synoptic situation was characterized by the presence of a deep trough whose axis was located over the Iberian Peninsula, promoting positive vorticity and divergence advection to occur in front of the axis, providing a favorable convective environment for the supercells development. The MSG-SEVIRI satellite brightness temperature (10.8 µm infrared channel) is used as a meteorological variable to validate and compare the simulations of the cloudiness associated with the supercell event. The validation of the WRF model is performed thorough several skill-scores, giving satisfactory results in the distribution of the brightness temperature of the supercells with a slight overestimation of it.

• Referencias bibliográficas
  • Avolio, E., & Miglietta, M. M. (2021): “Multiple tornadoes in the Italian Ionian regions: Observations, sensitivity tests and mesoscale...
  • Bližňák, V., Sokol, Z., & Zacharov, P. (2017): “Nowcasting of deep convective clouds and heavy precipitation: Comparison study between...
  • Bougeault, P., & Lacarrere, P. (1989): “Parameterization of orography-induced turbulence in a mesobeta--scale model”. Monthly weather...
  • Bormann, N., Hernandez-Carrascal, A., Borde, R., Lutz, H. J., Otkin, J. A., & Wanzong, S. (2014): “Atmospheric motion vectors from model...
  • Browning, K. A. (1962): “Cellular structure of convective storm”. Meteorol.Mag., 91, 341–350.
  • Calvo-Sancho, C., Díaz-Fernández, J., Martín, Y., Bolgiani, P., Sastre, M., González-Alemán, J. J., ... & Martín, M. L. (2022): “Supercell...
  • Castro, A., Sánchez, J. L., & Fraile, R. (1992): “Statistical comparison of the properties of thunderstorms in different areas around...
  • Chou, M. D., & Suarez, M. J. (1999): “A solar radiation parameterization for atmospheric studies” (No. NASA/TM-1999- 104606/VOL15).
  • Chou, M. D., Suarez, M. J., Liang, X. Z., Yan, M. M. H., & Cote, C. (2001): “A thermal infrared radiation parameterization for atmospheric...
  • Dahl, J. M. (2006): “Supercells: their dynamics and prediction” (Doctoral dissertation).
  • Davies, J. M., & Johns, R. H. (1993): “Some wind and instability parameters associated with strong and violent tornadoes: 1. Wind shear...
  • Díaz-Fernández, J., Quitián-Hernández, L., Bolgiani, P., Santos-Muñoz, D., García Gago, Á., Fernández-González, S., ... & Martín, M. L....
  • Dotzek, N., Groenemeijer, P., Feuerstein, B. and Holzer, A. M. (2009): “Overview of ESSL’s severe convective storms research using the European...
  • Dudhia, J. (1996, July): “A multi-layer soil temperature model for MM5. In Preprints, The Sixth PSU/NCAR mesoscale model users’ workshop (pp....
  • Hersbach, H., Bell, B., Berrisford, P., Hirahara, S., Horányi, A., Muñoz‐Sabater, J., Nicolas, J., Peubey, C., Radu, R., Schepers, D., Simmons,...
  • Jiménez, P.A., Dudhia, J., González-Rouco, J.F., Navarro, J., Montávez, J.P., García- Bustamante, E., (2012): “A revised scheme for the WRF...
  • Kaltenböck, R., Diendorfer, G., Dotzek, N. (2009): “Evaluation of thunderstorm indices from ECMWF analyses, lightning data and severe storm...
  • Kunz, M., Wandel, J., Fluck, E., Baumstark, S., Mohr, S., & Schemm, S. (2020): “Ambient conditions prevailing during hail events in central...
  • Markowski, P., & Richardson, Y. (2011): “Mesoscale meteorology in midlatitudes (Vol. 2)”. John Wiley & Sons.
  • Martín, Y., Cívica, M., & Pham, E. (2020): “Constructing a Supercell Database in Spain Using Publicly Available Two-Dimensional Radar...
  • Merino, A., García-Ortega, E., López, L., Sánchez, J. L., & Guerrero-Higueras, A. M. (2013): “Synoptic environment, mesoscale configurations...
  • Mora, M., Riesco, J., de Pablo Dávila, F., & Rivas Soriano, L. (2015): “Atmospheric background associated with severe lightning thunderstorms...
  • Otkin, J. A., Greenwald, T. J., Sieglaff, J., & Huang, H. L. (2009): “Validation of a large-scale simulated brightness temperature dataset...
  • Quirantes Calvo, J. A., Riesco Martín, J., & Núñez Mora, J. Á. (2014): “Características básicas de las supercélulas en España”. Agencia...
  • Schmetz, J., Pili, P., Tjemkes, S., Just, D., Kerkmann, J., Rota, S., Ratier, A., (2002): “An introduction to Meteosat Second Generation (MSG)”....
  • Taszarek, M., Brooks, H. E., & Czernecki, B. (2017): “Sounding-derived parameters associated with convective hazards in Europe”. Monthly...
  • Thompson, G., & Eidhammer, T. (2014). “A study of aerosol impacts on clouds and precipitation development in a large winter cyclone”....
  • Xie, B., Zhang, Q., & Wang, Y. (2010). “Observed characteristics of hail size in four regions in China during 1980–2005”. Journal of Climate,...