An Application of Stochastic Dominances in Sports Analytics

Authors

  • Jose María Fernández Ponce Universidad de Sevilla
  • María del Rosario Rodríguez Griñolo Universidad Pablo de Olavide
  • Miguel Angel Troncoso Molina Universidad de Sevilla

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.25115/eea.v40i1.7002

Keywords:

Beta Distribution, Expected Goals, Sports Analytics, Stochastic Orders.

Abstract

Stochastic orders or stochastic dominance as they are known in Economics have been widely studied and applied in a variety of scientific fields, from Biology to Systems Engineering. However, to the best of our knowledge there is an application gap in the field of Sports Analytics or Sports Sciences. In this paper, we attempt a first approach to a possible application of stochastic orders to a dataset of LaLiga (Spain) football matches. Our aim is simply to show how a comparison can be extended beyond a simple metric comparison. In particular, we will focus on the first and second dominance stochastic orders as they are the most intuitive and simple to interpret and are also the most widely used in Economics.

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https://docs.google.com/document/d/1OY0dxqXIBgncj0UDgb97zOtczC-b6JUknPFWgD77ng4/edit

Additional Files

Published

2022-02-11