Abstract
Financial decision making is involved with a plethora of important issues for individual and institutional investors, managers of firms and organizations, as well as policy makers. The finance theory has adopted the wealth maximization principle, focusing on normative and descriptive approaches often highlighting multiple factors that drive this single goal. Multicriteria decision systems add important practical contributions in this context, supporting financial decision makers in modeling, analyzing, and evaluating multiple ways of action, under all decision criteria pertinent in a specific decision instance. This paper analyzes the relevance of multicriteria decision systems for financial decisions. A detailed discussion and up-to-date review on two important areas of financial decision support, namely portfolio selection and corporate performance evaluation, are also given to highlight how different multicriteria modeling approaches complement and enhance exiting techniques from the areas of finance and operations research.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
The term “utility theory” is usually used in the context of decisions under uncertainty, whereas “value theory” is often preferred for deterministic problems. Having this distinction in mind, in order to simplify the presentation in the remainder of the paper we shall use the term “utility” to cover both situations.
Under the Basel accord, financial institutions that use more sophisticated, better calibrated, and more accurate quantitative scoring systems, have higher flexibility with respect to the minimum capital that they should hold as protection against negative events.
In other specialized credit granting contexts (e.g., project finance), the risk assessment process is mostly based on empirical quantitative and qualitative models (Morton et al. 2011, Chaps. 8, 10), which fit well the context of MCDA.
References
Abdou HA, Pointon J (2011) Credit scoring, statistical techniques and evaluation criteria: a review of the literature. Intell Syst Account Finance Manag 18(2–3):59–88
Aebi V, Sabato G, Schmid M (2012) Risk management, corporate governance, and bank performance in the financial crisis. J Bank Finance 36(12):3213–3226
Arrow KJ, Raynaud H (1986) Social choice and multicriterion decision-making. MIT Press, Cambridge
Artzner P, Delbaen F, Eber JM, Heath D (1999) Coherent measures of risk. Math Finance 9(3):203–228
Azmi R, Tamiz M (2010) A review of goal programming for portfolio selection. In: Jones D, Tamiz M, Ries J (eds) New developments in multiple objective and goal programming. Lecture notes in economics and mathematical systems, vol 638. Springer, Berlin, pp 15–33
Aznar J, Guijarro F, Moreno-Jimenez J (2011) Mixed valuation methods: a combined AHP-GP procedure for individual and group multicriteria agricultural valuation. Ann Oper Res 190:221–238
Aznar Bellver J, Cervelló Royo R, García García F (2011) Spanish savings banks and their future transformation into private capital banks: determining their value by a multicriteria valuation methodology. Eur J Econ Finance Adm Sci 35:155–164
Ballestero E (2001) Stochastic goal programming: a mean-variance approach. Eur J Oper Res 131(3):476–481
Ballestero E, Bravo M, Perez-Gladish B, Arenas-Parra M, Pla-Santamaria D (2012) Socially responsible investment: a multicriteria approach to portfolio selection combining ethical and financial objectives. Eur J Oper Res 216(2):487–494
Ballestero E, Romero C (1996) Portfolio selection: a compromise programming solution. J Oper Res Soc 47(11):1377–1386
Bana e Costa CA, Soares JO (2004) A multicriteria model for portfolio management. Eur J Finance 10:198–211
Bana e Costa CA, Barroso L, Soares JO (2002) Qualitative modelling of credit scoring: a case study in banking. Eur Res Stud 5(1–2):37–51
Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (2004) International convergence of capital measurement and capital standards: a revised framework. Bank for International Settlements
Bayrakdaroğlu A, Yalçin N (2013) A fuzzy multi criteria evaluation of the operational risk factors for the state-owned and privately-owned commercial banks in Turkey. Hum Ecol Risk Assess 19:443–461
Bell DE, Raiffa H, Tversky A (1988) Decision making: descriptive, normative and prescriptive interactions. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Belton V, Stewart TJ (2002) Multiple criteria decision analysis: an integrated approach. Kluwer, Dordrecht
Ben Abdelaziz F, Aouni B, El Fayedh R (2007) Multi-objective stochastic programming for portfolio selection. Eur J Oper Res 177(3):1811–1823
Bhagat S, Bolton B (2008) Corporate governance and firm performance. J Corp Finance 14(3):257–273
Bilbao-Terol A, Arenas-Parra M, Cañal Fernández V (2012a) Selection of socially responsible portfolios using goal programming and fuzzy technology. Inf Sci 189:110–125
Bilbao-Terol A, Arenas-Parra M, Cañal Fernández V, Bilbao-Terol C (2012b) Selection of socially responsible portfolios using hedonic prices. J Bus Ethics. doi:10.1007/s10551-012-1411-6
Bouyssou D, Marchant T, Pirlot M, Tsoukiàs A, Vincke Ph (2006) Evaluation and decision models with multiple criteria: stepping stones for the analyst. Springer, New York
Brans JP, Vincke Ph (1985) A preference ranking organization method. Manag Sci 31(6):647–656
Briec W, Kerstens K (2010) Portfolio selection in multidimensional general and partial moment space. J Econ Dyn Control 34(4):636–656
Briec W, Kerstens K, Jokund O (2007) Mean-variance-skewness portfolio performance gauging: a general shortage function and dual approach. Manag Sci 53:135–149
Bugera V, Konno H, Uryasev S (2002) Credit cards scoring with quadratic utility function. J Multi-Criteria Decis Anal 11(4–5):197–211
Capotorti A, Barbanera E (2012) Credit scoring analysis using a fuzzy probabilistic rough set model. Comput Stat Data Anal 56(4):981–994
Carhart M (1997) On persistence in mutual fund performance. J Finance 52(1):57–82
Christodoulakis GA, Satchell S (2008) The analytics of risk model validation. Academic Press, London
Cohen S, Doumpos M, Neophytou E, Zopounidis C (2012) Assessing financial distress where bankruptcy is not an option: an alternative approach for local municipalities. Eur J Oper Res 218(1):270–279
Coleman L (2006) Why managers and companies take risks. Springer, London
Courtis JK (1978) Modelling a financial ratios categoric framework. J Bus Finance Account 5(4):371–386
Crouhy M, Galai D, Mark R (2001) Prototype risk rating system. J Bank Finance 25(1):47–95
Davies RJ, Kat HM, Lu S (2009) Fund of hedge funds portfolio selection: a multiple-objective approach. J Deriv Hedge Funds 15:91–115
Deb K, Steuer RE, Tewari R, Tewari R (2011) Bi-objective portfolio optimization using a customized hybrid NSGA-II procedure. In: Takahashi RHC, Deb K, Wanner EF, Greco S (eds) Evolutionary multi-criterion optimization. Lecture notes in computer science, vol 6576. Springer, Berlin, pp 358–373
Doumpos M, Zopounidis C (2010) A multicriteria decision support system for bank rating. Decis Support Syst 50(1):55–63
Doumpos M, Zopounidis C (2011) A multicriteria outranking modeling approach for credit rating. Decis Sci 42(3):721–742
Doumpos M, Marinakis Y, Marinaki M, Zopounidis C (2009) An evolutionary approach to construction of outranking models for multicriteria classification: the case of the ELECTRE TRI method. Eur J Oper Res 199(2):496–505
Doumpos M, Zopounidis C, Pardalos PM (2012) Financial decision making using computational intelligence. Springer optimization and its applications, vol 70. Springer, New York
Ducassy I (2012) Does corporate social responsibility pay off in times of crisis? An alternate perspective on the relationship between financial and corporate social performance. Corp Soc-Responsib Environ Manag. doi:10.1002/csr.1282
Dyer JS (2005) MAUT—multiattribute utility theory. In: Figueira JR, Greco S, Ehrgott M (eds) Multiple criteria decision analysis: state of the art surveys. Springer, Boston, pp 265–285
Ehrgott M, Klamroth K, Schwehm C (2004) An MCDM approach to portfolio optimization. Eur J Oper Res 155(3):752–770
Ehrgott M, Figueira JR, Greco S (2010) Trends in multiple criteria decision analysis. Springer, New York
Elgazzar SH, Tipi NS, Hubbard NJ, Leach DZ (2012) Linking supply chain processes’ performance to a company’s financial strategic objectives. Eur J Oper Res 223(1):276–289
Fabozzi FJ, Focardi S, Jonas C (2007) Trends in quantitative equity management: survey results. Quant Finance 7(2):115–122
Fama EF, French JR (1992) The cross-section of expected stock returns. J Finance 47(2):427–465
Fama EF, French KR (1993) Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds. J Financ Econ 33(1):3–56
Fama EF, French KR (1996) Multifactor explanations of asset pricing anomalies. J Finance 51(1):55–84
Fethi MD, Pasiouras F (2010) Assessing bank efficiency and performance with operational research and artificial intelligence techniques: a survey. Eur J Oper Res 204(2):189–198
Figueira JR, Greco S, Roy B, Slowinski R (2010) ELECTRE methods: main features and recent developments. In: Zopounidis C, Pardalos PM (eds) Handbook of multicriteria analysis. Springer, Berlin, pp 51–89
Finnerty JD (1988) Financial engineering in corporate finance: an overview. Financ Manag 17(4):14–33
Gaganis C, Pasiouras F, Zopounidis C (2006) A multicriteria decision framework for measuring banks’ soundness around the world. J Multi-Criteria Decis Anal 14(1–3):103–111
Gaganis C, Pasiouras F, Doumpos M, Zopounidis C (2010) Modelling banking sector stability with multicriteria approaches. Optim Lett 4:543–558
Gaivoronski AA, Pflug G (2005) Value-at-risk in portfolio optimization: properties and computational approach. J Risk 7(2):1–31
García F, Guijarro F, Moya I (2010a) A goal programming approach to estimating performance weights for ranking firms. Comput Oper Res 37(9):1597–1609
García F, Guijarro F, Moya I (2010b) Ranking Spanish savings banks: a multicriteria approach. Math Comput Model 52(7–8):1058–1065
García F, Giménez V, Guijarro F (2013) Credit risk management: a multicriteria approach to assess creditworthiness. Math Comput Model 57(7–8):2009–2015
Grabisch M, Kojadinovic I, Meyer P (2008) A review of methods for capacity identification in Choquet integral based multi-attribute utility theory: applications of the Kappalab R package. Eur J Oper Res 186(2):766–785
Greco S, Matarazzo B, Slowinski R (2001) Rough sets theory for multicriteria decision analysis. Eur J Oper Res 129(1):1–47
Grigoroudis E, Orfanoudaki E, Zopounidis C (2012) Strategic performance measurement in a healthcare organisation: a multiple criteria approach based on balanced scorecard. Omega 40(1):104–119
Grigoroudis E, Tsitsiridi E, Zopounidis C (2013) Linking customer satisfaction, employee appraisal, and business performance: an evaluation methodology in the banking sector. Ann Oper Res 205(1):5–27
Hallerbach W, Ning H, Soppe A, Spronk J (2004) A framework for managing a portfolio of socially responsible investments. Eur J Oper Res 153(2):517–529
He J, Zhang Y, Shi Y, Huang G (2010) Domain-driven classification based on multiple criteria and multiple constraint-level programming for intelligent credit scoring. IEEE Trans Knowl Data Eng 22(6):826–838
Hirschberger M, Qi Y, Steuer RE (2010) Large-scale MV efficient frontier computation via a procedure of parametric quadratic programming. Eur J Oper Res 204(3):581–588
Hu YC (2009) Bankruptcy prediction using ELECTRE-based single-layer perceptron. Neurocomputing 72:3150–3157
Hu YC, Chen CJ (2011) A PROMETHEE-based classification method using concordance and discordance relations and its application to bankruptcy prediction. Inf Sci 181(22):4959–4968
Hurson C, Zopounidis C (1997) Gestion de portefeuille et analyse multicritère. Economica, Paris
Iazzolino G, Laise D, Marraro L (2012) Business multicriteria performance analysis: a tutorial. Benchmarking 19(3):395–411
Ioannidis C, Pasiouras F, Zopounidis C (2010) Assessing bank soundness with classification techniques. Omega 38(5):345–357
Jablonsky J (2012) Multicriteria approaches for ranking of efficient units in DEA models. Cent Eur J Oper Res 20:435–449
Jacquet-Lagrèze E, Siskos Y (1982) Assessing a set of additive utility functions for multicriteria decision making: the UTA method. Eur J Oper Res 10(2):151–164
Jacquet-Lagrèze E, Siskos Y (2001) Preference disaggregation: twenty years of MCDA experience. Eur J Oper Res 130(2):233–245
Jondeau W, Rockinger M (2006) Optimal portfolio allocation under higher moments. Eur Financ Manag 12(1):29–55
Jones D, Tamiz M (2012) Practical goal programming. Springer, London
Jorion P (2009) Value at risk, 3rd edn. McGraw-Hill, New York
Joshi MS (2003) The concepts and practice of mathematical finance. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Kalogeras N, Pennings JME, Benos T, Doumpos M (2013) Which cooperative ownership model performs better? A financial-decision aid approach. Agribusiness. doi:10.1002/agr.21323
Kaplan RS, Norton DP (1992) The balanced scorecard: measures that drive performance. Harv Bus Rev 70:71–79
Keeney RL, Raiffa H (1993) Decisions with multiple objectives: preferences and value trade-offs. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Kerstens K, Mounir A, van de Woestyne I (2011) Geometric representation of the mean-variance-skewness portfolio frontier based upon the shortage function. Eur J Oper Res 210(1):81–94
Kirkwood CW (2004) Approximating risk aversion in decision analysis applications. Decis Anal 1(1):51–67
Konno H, Suzuki K (1995) A mean-variance-skewness portfolio optimisation model. J Oper Res Soc Jpn 38(2):173–187
Konno H, Yamazaki H (1991) Mean-absolute deviation portfolio optimization model and its applications to Tokyo stock market. Manag Sci 37(5):519–531
Krahnen JP, Weber M (2001) Generally accepted rating principles: a primer. J Bank Finance 25(1):3–23
Krink T, Paterlini S (2011) Multiobjective optimization using differential evolution for real-world portfolio optimization. Comput Manag Sci 8:157–179
Lai TY (1991) Portfolio selection with skewness: a multiple-objective approach. Rev Quant Finance Account 1:293–305
LeRoy SF, Werner J (2000) Principles of financial economics. Cambridge University Press, New York
Li J, Wei L, Li G, Xu W (2011) An evolution strategy-based multiple kernels multi-criteria programming approach: the case of credit decision making. Decis Support Syst 51(2):292–298
Lioui A, Sharma Z (2012) Environmental corporate social responsibility and financial performance: disentangling direct and indirect effects. Ecol Econ 78:100–111
Mansini R, Ogryczak W, Speranza MG (2007) Conditional value at risk and related linear programming models for portfolio optimization. Ann Oper Res 152:227–256
Markowitz HM (1959) Portfolio selection: efficient diversification of investment. Wiley, New York
Martel JM, Matarazzo B (2005) Other outranking approaches. In: Multiple criteria decision analysis: state of the art surveys. Springer, New York, pp 197–259
Martens D, Baesens B (2010) Building acceptable classification models. In: Stahlbock R, Crone SF, Lessmann S (eds) Data mining. Annals of information systems, vol 8. Springer, New York, pp 53–74
Martens D, Vanthienen J, Verbeke W, Baesens B (2011) Performance of classification models from a user perspective. Decis Support Syst 51(4):782–793
Metaxiotis K, Liagkouras K (2012) Multiobjective evolutionary algorithms for portfolio management: a comprehensive literature review. Expert Syst Appl 39(14):11685–11698
Michaud RO (1989) The Markowitz optimization enigma: is ‘optimized’ optimal? Financ Anal J 45(1):31–42
Miettinen K (1999) Nonlinear multiobjective optimization. Kluwer Academic, Dordrecht
Morton G, Johnathan M (2011) Credit engineering for bankers: a practical guide for bank lending, 2nd edn. Academic Press, Boston
Mousseau V, Slowinski R (1998) Inferring an ELECTRE TRI model from assignment examples. J Glob Optim 12(2):157–174
Nawrocki D (1999) A brief history of downside risk measures. J Invest 8:9–25
Neal R, Cochran PL (2008) Corporate social responsibility, corporate governance, and financial performance: lessons from finance. Bus Horiz 51(6):535–540
Nelling E, Webb E (2009) Corporate social responsibility and financial performance: the ‘virtuous circle’ revisited. Rev Quant Finance Account 32:197–209
Ogryczak W (2000) Multiple criteria linear programming model for portfolio selection. Ann Oper Res 97:143–162
Ohlson JA (1995) Earnings, book values and dividends in security valuation. Contemp Account Res 11:661–687
Pahikkala T, Waegeman W, Tsivtsivadze E, Salakoski T, De Baets B (2010) Learning intransitive reciprocal relations with kernel methods. Eur J Oper Res 206(3):676–685
Papageorgiou D, Doumpos M, Zopounidis C, Pardalos PM (2008) Credit rating systems: regulatory framework and comparative evaluation of existing methods. In: Zopounidis C, Doumpos M, Pardalos PM (eds) Handbook of financial engineering. Springer, New York, pp 457–488
Phillips-Wren G (2013) Intelligent decision support systems. In: Multicriteria decision aid and artificial intelligence: links, theory and applications. Wiley, New York, pp 25–44
Rockafellar RT, Uryasev S (2000) Optimization of conditional value-at-risk. J Risk 2:21–41
Rodríguez R, Luque M, González M (2011) Portfolio selection in the Spanish stock market by interactive multiobjective programming. Top 19:213–231
Roman D, Darby-Dowman K, Mitra G (2012) Mean-risk models using two risk measures: a multiobjective approach. Quant Finance 7(4):443–458
Ross SA (1976) The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing. J Econ Theory 13(3):341–360
Roy B (1968) Classement et choix en présence de points de vue multiples: la méthode ELECTRE. Rev Fr Inform Rech Oper 8:57–75
Roy B (2010) Robustness in operational research and decision aiding: a multi-faceted issue. Eur J Oper Res 200(3):629–638
Roy B, Bouyssou D (1993) Aide multicritère à la décision: méthodes et cas. Economica, Paris
Sahajwala R, Van den Bergh P (2000) Supervisory risk assessment and early warning systems. Tech. Rep. 4, Bank of International Settlements, Basel, Switzerland
Samaras GD, Matsatsinis NF, Zopounidis C (2008) A multicriteria DDS for stock evaluation using fundamental analysis. Eur J Oper Res 187(3):1380–1401
Sevastjanov P, Dymova L (2009) Stock screening with use of multiple criteria decision making and optimization. Omega 37(3):659–671
Sharpe WF (1964) Capital asset prices: a theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. J Finance 19(3):425–442
Siskos Y, Grigoroudis E (2010) New trends in aggregation–disaggregation approaches. In: Zopounidis C, Pardalos P (eds) Handbook of multicriteria analysis. Springer, Berlin, pp 189–214
Siskos Y, Yannacopoulos D (1985) UTASTAR: an ordinal regression method for building additive value functions. Investig Oper 5(1):39–53
Spronk J, Steuer RE, Zopounidis C (2005) Multicriteria decision aid/analysis in finance. In: Figueira J, Greco S, Ehrgott M (eds) Multiple criteria decision analysis: state of the art surveys. Springer, Boston, pp 799–858
Srinivasan V, Shocker AD (1973) Linear programming techniques for multidimensional analysis of preferences. Psychometrika 38:337–369
Stankevičiene J, Mencaite E (2012) The evaluation of bank performance using a multicriteria decision making model: a case study on Lithuanian commercial banks. Technol Econ Dev Econ 18(1):189–205
Steuer RE (1986) Multiple criteria optimization: theory, computation and application. Wiley, New York
Steuer RE, Na P (2003) Multiple criteria decision making combined with finance: a categorized bibliographic study. Eur J Oper Res 150(3):496–515
Steuer RE, Qi Y, Hirschberger M (2007) Suitable-portfolio investors, nondominated frontier sensitivity, and the effect of multiple objectives on standard portfolio selection. Ann Oper Res 152:297–317
Steuer RE, Qi Y, Hirschberger M (2008) Portfolio selection in the presence of multiple criteria. In: Zopounidis C, Doumpos M, Pardalos PM (eds) Handbook of financial engineering. Springer, Berlin, pp 3–24
Szegö G (2004) Risk measures for the 21st Century. Wiley, New York
Szegö G (2005) Measures of risk. J Bank Finance 26:1253–1272
Tsai WH, Chou WC, Hsu W (2009) The sustainability balanced scorecard as a framework for selecting socially responsible investment: an effective MCDM model. J Oper Res Soc 60:1396–1410
Tuncer Şakar C, Köksalan M (2012) A stochastic programming approach to multicriteria portfolio optimization. J Glob Optim 1–16
van Essen M, Engelen PJ, Carney M (2013) Does ‘good’ corporate governance help in a crisis? The impact of country- and firm-level governance mechanisms in the European financial crisis. Corp Gov 21(3):201–224
Vercher R, Bermúdez JD (2012) Fuzzy portfolio selection models: a numerical study. In: Doumpos M, Zopounidis C, Pardalos PM (eds) Financial decision making using computational intelligence. Springer optimization and its applications, vol 70. Springer, New York, pp 253–280
von Neumann J, Morgenstern O (1944) Theory of games and economic behavior. Princeton University Press, Princeton
Vukovic S, Delibasic B, Uzelac A, Suknovic M (2012) A case-based reasoning model that uses preference theory functions for credit scoring. Expert Syst Appl 39(9):8389–8395
Vuolteenaho T (2002) What drives firm-level stock returns? J Finance 57(1):233–264
Wagner HM (1959) Linear programming techniques for regression analysis. J Am Stat Assoc 54:206–212
Xidonas P, Mavrotas G, Psarras J (2009) A multicriteria methodology for equity selection using financial analysis. Comput Oper Res 36(12):3187–3203
Xidonas P, Mavrotas G, Zopounidis C, Psarras J (2011) IPSSIS: an integrated multicriteria decision support system for equity portfolio construction and selection. Eur J Oper Res 210(2):398–409
Xidonas P, Mavrotas G, Krintas T, Psarras J, Zopounidis C (2012) Multicriteria portfolio management. Springer, New York
Yalcin N, Bayrakdaroglu A, Kahraman C (2012) Application of fuzzy multi-criteria decision making methods for financial performance evaluation of Turkish manufacturing industries. Expert Syst Appl 39(1):350–364
Yeh CH, Deng H, Chang YH (2000) Fuzzy multicriteria analysis for performance evaluation of bus companies. Eur J Oper Res 126(3):459–473
Yu JR, Lee WY (2011) Portfolio rebalancing model using multiple criteria. Eur J Oper Res 209(2):166–175
Yu L, Wang S, Lai K (2009) An intelligent-agent-based fuzzy group decision making model for financial multicriteria decision support: the case of credit scoring. Eur J Oper Res 195(3):942–959
Zopounidis C, Doumpos M (2000) Intelligent decision aiding systems based on multiple criteria for financial engineering. Springer, Dordrecht
Zopounidis C, Pardalos PM (2010) Handbook of multicriteria analysis. Springer, Berlin
Zopounidis C, Doumpos M, Zanakis S (1999) Stock evaluation using a preference disaggregation methodology. Decis Sci 30(2):313–336
Zopounidis C, Fabozzi F, Doumpos M (eds) (2013) 60 years following Harry Markowitz’s contribution to portfolio theory and operations research. Eur J Oper Res (forthcoming). Special Issue
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Zopounidis, C., Doumpos, M. Multicriteria decision systems for financial problems. TOP 21, 241–261 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11750-013-0279-7
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11750-013-0279-7